Pre-opening Comments for Thursday August 1st
U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 30 points at 8:35 AM EDT.
S&P 500 futures were unchanged following release of U.S. second quarter Non-farm Productivity at 8:30 AM EDT. Consensus was a 1.5% increase versus a gain of 0.2% in the first quarter. Actual was a 2.3% increase.
Meta Platform advanced $24.16 to $499.00 after reporting higher than consensus second quarter results. The company also offered positive third quarter guidance.
![clip_image001[1]](http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techtalk/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/clip_image0011.png "clip_image001[1]")
QUALCOMM advanced $10.85 to $191.80 after reporting higher than consensus second quarter results.
![clip_image002[1]](http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techtalk/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/clip_image0021.png "clip_image002[1]")
Lam Research dropped $21.54 to $899.70 after reporting less than consensus fiscal fourth quarter results.
![clip_image003[1]](http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techtalk/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/clip_image0031.png "clip_image003[1]")
Western Digital dropped $2.80 to $64.25 after reporting less than consensus fiscal fourth quarter results.
![clip_image004[1]](http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techtalk/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/clip_image0041.png "clip_image004[1]")
EquityClock’s Stock Market Outlook for August 1st
August has historically been a flat month for stocks with the S&P 500 Index averaging a decline of 0.1% and only 55% of periods showing positive results. See:
https://equityclock.com/2024/07/31/stock-market-outlook-for-august-1-2024/
Responses to FOMC announcement at 2:00 PM EDT
The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the Fed Fund Rate at 5.25%-5.50%. Responses in selected markets after 2:00 PM EDT were as follows:
S&P 500 Index initially moved higher, but closed virtually unchanged
Yield on 10 year Treasuries initially moved higher, but closed slightly lower
U.S. Dollar Index ETN moved lower
Conversely, the Canadian Dollar relative to the U.S. Dollar moved higher
Gold bullion moved higher
Gold equity prices moved higher.
Technical Notes
20 year + Treasury Bond iShares $TLT moved above $94.54 extending an intermediate uptrend.
7-10 year Treasury Bond iShares $IEF moved above $95.70 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Boeing $BA a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock moved above $192.63 completing a reverse Head & Shoulders pattern.
MasterCard $MA an S&P 100 stock moved above $462.39 and $464.24 extending an intermediate uptrend.
ADP $ADP a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $265.73 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.
Marriott $MA a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $226.03 completing a double top pattern.
BCE $BCE.TO a TSX 60 stock moved above US$33.76 and Cdn$46.58 completing a double bottom pattern.
Brookfield Infrastructure $BIP a TSX 60 stock moved above US $31.61 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for July 31st 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Source for all positive seasonality ratings: www.EquityClock.com
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for July 31st 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for July 31st 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Links offered by valued providers
Global oil inventories reached record deficit: Nuttall
Global oil inventories reached record deficit: Nuttall – YouTube
Earnings & Powell: How to Trade the Markets: Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Liz Young
Earnings & Powell: How to Trade the Markets – YouTube
Fed holds rates steady, hints a rate cut could be coming
Fed holds rates steady, hints a rate cut could be coming – YouTube
Factors driving the gold rally: Daniel Ghali
Factors driving the gold rally – YouTube
Investors sold assets before capital gains tax change: Colliers
Investors sold assets before capital gains tax change: Colliers – YouTube
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer added 2.60 to 73.00. It remains Overbought.
The long term Barometer added 1.60 to 80.00. It remains Overbought.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer added 4.42 to 77.88. It remains Overbought.
The long term Barometer added 0.44 to 81.42. It remains Overbought.
Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed
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August 1st, 2024 at 1:37 pm
Hello Ron,
I hope you are doing well. Just wondering if you could do a chart on EMO.V (Emerita Resources Corp. when you get a chance.
Cheers,Pat
August 1st, 2024 at 4:35 pm
Pat/Vic
I’m not at a computer now bur will post one later. Might be late in the day or night.
August 2nd, 2024 at 12:13 am
Pat/Vic
Re:EMO.V
Is a mining company drilling in Spain. Price has been erratic over the last 10 years but that is not unusual for a low cost stock. Here is a Daily chart of it and a 1- year chart of it. The vertical dotted lines are where the RSI 8 crosses above the 30 line when below and below the 70 line when above for buy and sell signals. Not perfect but does have a track record. Resistance at .78 “IF” it can reclear 1.10 it could run up to the old highs again. Those small stocks are a gamble to trade. The seasonal trend for the stock is very weak in September.
https://schrts.co/fhAHXJWd
https://schrts.co/qBWwGyHs
August 2nd, 2024 at 2:01 pm
Thanks Ron !
Very helpful
Cheers,Pat