Pre-opening Comments for Thursday July 14th
U.S. equity index futures were lower this morning. S&P 500 futures were down 50 points in pre-opening trade.
Index futures were virtually unchanged after release of the June CPI report at 8:30 AM EDT. Consensus was an increase 0.8% versus a gain of 0.8% in May. Actual was an increase of 1.1%. Year-over-year, June PPI was expected to increase 10.8% versus a gain of 10.8% in May. Actual was a gain of11.3%. Excluding food and energy, June PPI was expected to increase 0.5% versus a gain of 0.5% in May. Actual was an increase of 0.4%. Year-over-year, June core PPI was expected to increase 8.6% versus a gain of 8.3% in May. Actual was an increase of 8.2%.
JP Morgan dropped $2.75 to $109.16 after reporting lower than consensus second quarter results. The bank also suspended its share buyback program.
Morgan Stanley fell $1.36 to $73.62 after reporting lower than consensus second quarter results.
Conagra added $0.19 to $35.93 after reporting higher than consensus adjusted fourth quarter results.
Taiwan Semiconductor gained $1.35 to $82.64 after reporting higher than consensus second quarter revenues and earnings.
EquityClock’s Daily Comment
Headline reads “The lack of concern in the bond market following the latest Consumer Price Index report suggests that we may be at a turning point in the prevailing negative trend of bond prices”. Following is a link:
http://www.equityclock.com/2022/07/13/stock-market-outlook-for-july-14-2022/
Technical Notes for yesterday
Emerging Markets iShares $EEM moved below $38.62 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Walt Disney $DIS a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock moved below $92.01 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Metlife $MET an S&P 100 stock moved below $60.21 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Workday $WDAY a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $134.53 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Match $MTCH a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $67.25 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Fastenal $FAST a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $48.10 extending an intermediate downtrend.
QualComm $QCOM a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $136.45 completing a double bottom pattern.
Sun Life Financial $SLF.TO a TSX 60 stock moved below $57.21 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Loblaw Companies $L.TO a TSX 60 stock moved above $119.15 to an all-time high and George Weston $WN.TO a related TSX 60 stock moved above intermediate resistance at $156.22
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for July 13th 2022
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for July 13th 2022
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for July 13th 2021
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
All seasonality ratings are based on performance relative to the S&P 500 Index (except TSX)
Links offered by valued providers
Link from Mark Bunting and www.uncommonsenseinvestor.com
Wall Street’s Sudden Pessimism a Sign of Hope – Uncommon Sense Investor
Greg Schnell says “Whoozy at best.” Following is a link:
Woozy At Best | Greg Schnell, CMT | Market Buzz (07.13.22) – YouTube
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped 1.40 to 19.80 yesterday. It remains Oversold.
The long term Barometer eased 1.00 to 20.00 yesterday. It remains Oversold.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer slipped 0.42 to 20.59 yesterday. It remains Oversold.
The long term Barometer added $0.42 to 22.69 yesterday. It remains Oversold. Trend is up.
Disclaimer: Seasonality and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
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July 14th, 2022 at 10:09 am
the AAII survey this week shows the bulls at 26.9% vs 19.4 last week…….the bears are 46.5% vs 52.8…..
July 14th, 2022 at 1:16 pm
Hi Bruce
Looks like most traders/investors are still crapping their pants…………(don’t blame them)
https://www.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed
July 14th, 2022 at 2:00 pm
Here is a nice looking chart that has been moving up. Not too many look like this!
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=UUP&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p70092084810&a=673066342
July 14th, 2022 at 2:28 pm
I’m amazed that so many people on one side of the boat have been right….usually when the sentiment is this one sided the opposite happens…..somebody will light the fuse and we’ll see an explosive bear market rally but we probably won’t believe it when it comes……that high u.s. $ is a big problem…..
July 14th, 2022 at 3:24 pm
just bought some zwb…..7.35 yield….rsi 26……
July 14th, 2022 at 6:34 pm
#4 Bruce
I agree, a big blow your socks off rally will trash a lot of short accounts soon. Reminds me of the old Guru Joe Granville and some of his wise sayings such as “If it’s obvious, it’s obviously wrong.” So very true. Meanwhile if short keep those stops close. ( and sleep with one eye open.)
July 14th, 2022 at 6:45 pm
ZWB.to
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ZWB.TO&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p29173563247&a=1055022940
https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/seasonality.php?symbol=ZWB.TO
July 14th, 2022 at 7:58 pm
the zwb and zeb charts both look awful but I feel are o/s enough to warrant a worthwhile bounce…..plus I believe the dividend in zwb is safe……