Pre-opening Comments for Thursday July 21st
U.S equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 5 points in pre-opening trade.
The Euro moved higher following news that the European Central Bank raised its base rate by 0.50%.
Index futures were virtually unchanged following release of the July Philly Fed report at 8:30 AM EDT. Consensus was a gain of 1.6 versus a decline of 3.3 in June. Actual was.a drop of 12.3.
Tesla gained $10.80 to $753.30 after reporting higher than consensus quarterly earnings.
Alcoa added $2.56 to $47.62 after reporting higher than consensus second quarter results.
United Airlines dropped $3.08 to $38.60 after reporting lower than consensus second quarter results.
EquityClock’s Daily Comment
Headline reads “The bears will need a new General to lead their march lower if technology/growth is no longer the dominant burden on the broader market”.
http://www.equityclock.com/2022/07/20/stock-market-outlook-for-july-21-2022/
Technical Notes for yesterday
S&P 500 Index $SPX moved above $3,945.86 and $SPY moved above $393.16 completing a double bottom pattern. Also, equal weight S&P 500 ETF $RSP moved above $139.94 completing a double bottom pattern.
Dow Jones Industrial Average $INDU moved above $31,885.09 and Dow Jones Industrial Average SPDRS $DIA moved above $318.62 completing a double bottom pattern.
NASDAQ Composite Index $COMPQ moved above 11,677.49 and 11689.70 completing a double bottom pattern. NASDAQ 100 Index and its related ETF QQQ also completed a double bottom pattern on moves above 12,179.32 and $296.75
NASDAQ 100 stock led the strength in U.S. equity indices:
Adobe $ADBE a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $392.07 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Splunk $SPLK a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $101.27extending an intermediate uptrend.
Verisign $VRSN a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above intermediate resistance at $182.27
Applied Materials $AMAT a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above intermediate resistance at $98.91
Qualcomm $QCOM a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $150.41 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Broadcom $AVGO a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above intermediate resistance at $514.15
ANSYS $ANSS a NASDAQ 100 stock move above $227.73 completing a double bottom pattern.
AutoDesk $ADSK a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $193.33 completing a double bottom pattern.
DexCom $DXCM a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $82.85 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Netflix $NFLX a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $207.38 completing a base building pattern.
Russell 2000 iShares $IWM moved above $178.15 completing a double bottom pattern.
Water ETF $PHO moved above $47.94 setting an intermediate uptrend.
Aerospace & Defense ETF $PPA moved above $71.23 resuming an intermediate uptrend.
Uranium ETF $URI moved above $20.10 completing a base building pattern.
Other big cap stocks to establish intermediate uptrends included
Walt Disney $DIS a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock moved above intermediate resistance at $100.40
Dupont $DD an S&P 100 stock moved above $56.63 completing a double bottom pattern.
MercadoLibre $MELI a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $752.66 completing a double bottom pattern.
Merck $MRK a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock was the only big cap stock to move lower. The stock moved below $90.39 completing a double top pattern.
TSX Technology iShares $XIT.TO moved above $33.81 completing a reverse Head & Shoulders pattern.
Bausch Health $BHC.TO a TSX 60 stock moved above $11.95 completing a base building pattern.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for July 21st 2022
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for July 20th 2022
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for July 20th 2021
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
All seasonality ratings are based on performance relative to the S&P 500 Index (except TSX)
Links to comments from valued providers
Link from Mark Bunting and www.uncommonsenseinvestor.com
Have Investors Reached "Full Capitulation?" – Uncommon Sense Investor
Greg Schell discusses “Analysing a market turn.”
Have Investors Reached "Full Capitulation?" – Uncommon Sense Investor
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer added 4.40 to 50.00 yesterday. It remains Neutral. Trend is up.
The long term Barometer slipped 1.20 to 21.00 yesterday. It remains Oversold.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Baometer gained 3.36 to 37.40 yesterday. The Index remains Oversold. Trend is up
The long term Barometer was unchanged yesterday at 29.41. It remains Oversold. Trend is up.
Disclaimer: Seasonality and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed
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July 21st, 2022 at 9:38 am
oh oh…the AAII bulls were 29.6% this week up from 26.9 last week and a 7 week high…the bears are 42.2% vs 46.5 and also at a 7 week low….
July 21st, 2022 at 6:43 pm
Bruce
Here is the Fear & Greed Index just to add to the equation.
https://www.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed