Pre-opening Comments for Tuesday December 27^th

U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 18 points in pre-opening trade.

Canadian equity and bond markets are closed today for the Boxing Day the holiday.

The Shanghai Composite Index gained 30.01 to 3,095.57 after announcing plans to dismantle its Zero COVID policy.

WTI crude oil gained $0.80 to $80.35 on news that China plans to dismantle its Zero COVID policy.

Southwest Airlines dropped $1.42 to $34.67 after the airline cancelled more than two thirds of its flights yesterday due to inclement weather.

 

EquityClock’s Daily Comment

Headline reads “Our next prediction for 2023: US Dollar strength will return early in the new year, aligning with seasonal and cyclical patterns.

http://www.equityclock.com/2022/12/23/stock-market-outlook-for-december-27-2022/

 

The Bottom Line

‘Tis the season for the TSX 60 Index and its related ETF: XIU.TO to move higher and to outperform the S&P 500 Index from December 14^th to March 7^th! Both currently are lower from their close on December 14^th, but both have nicely outperformed the S&P 500 on schedule.

From www.EquityClock.com

 

Analysis of the iShares S&P/TSX 60 Index ETF (TSE:XIU.TO) seasonal charts shows that a Buy Date of December 14 and a Sell Date of March 7 has resulted in a geometric average return of 2.43% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 20 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 16 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 20 years by an average of 4.08% per year.

 

Consensus for Earnings and Revenues for S&P 500 Companies

Not available this week.

 

Economic News This Week

Nil

 

Selected Earnings News This Week

Nil

 

Trader’s Corner

Equity Indices and Related ETFs

Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for December 23^rd 2022

Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

Commodities

Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for December 23^rd 2022

Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

 

Sectors

Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for December 23^rd 2021

Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

 

Technical Scores

Calculated as follows:

Intermediate Uptrend based on at least 20 trading days: Score 2

          (Higher highs and higher lows)

Intermediate Neutral trend: Score 0

          (Not up or down)

Intermediate Downtrend: Score -2

          (Lower highs and lower lows)

Outperformance relative to the S&P 500 Index: Score: 2

Neutral Performance relative to the S&P 500 Index: 0

Underperformance relative to the S&P 500 Index: Score –2

 

Above 20 day moving average: Score 1

At 20 day moving average: Score: 0

Below 20 day moving average: –1

Up trending momentum indicators (Daily Stochastics, RSI and MACD): 1

Mixed momentum indicators: 0

Down trending momentum indicators: –1

Technical scores range from -6 to +6. Technical buy signals based on the above guidelines start when a security advances to at least 0.0, but preferably 2.0 or higher. Technical sell/short signals start when a security descends to 0, but preferably -2.0 or lower.

Long positions require maintaining a technical score of -2.0 or higher. Conversely, a short position requires maintaining a technical score of +2.0 or lower

 

Changes Last Week

Links offered by valued providers

Mark Leibovit’s comment for December 22^nd

2023 Stock Markets, Gold, US Dollar, Interest Rates, Cryptos – HoweStreet

 

Tom Bowley offers “Tips for trading success”

Tips For Trading Success | Tom Bowley | Trading Places (12.22.22) – YouTube

 

An interview with Tom Dorsey and Ralph Acampora

https://get.investors.com/podcast/?src=A00511A

 

Greg Schnell discusses “A Chilly Ending”

A Chilly Ending | The Canadian Technician | StockCharts.com

 

Dave Keller offers “Ten questions that every investor should ask at yearend”

My Worst Call of the Year | The Mindful Investor | StockCharts.com

 

Top five charts every trader needs to watch in 2023

Top 5 Charts Every Trader Needs to Watch in 2023 | ChartWatchers |

StockCharts.com

 

Erin Swenlin notes “Crude oil (USO) flashes a PMO Buy Signal while long term bonds flash a PMO sell signal”

Crude Oil (USO) Garners PMO BUY Signal – 20+ Bonds (TLT) Triggers PMO SELL Signal | DecisionPoint | StockCharts.com

 

Bob Hoye asks “Where is the Christmas Rally”?

Where is the Santa Claus Rally? – HoweStreet

 

Josef Schachter discusses “Cold snap energy demand”.

Cold Snap Energy Demand – HoweStreet

 

Market Watch notes “How a Santa Claus rally sets the stage for the first quarter”

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-a-santa-claus-rally-or-lack-thereof-sets-the-stage-for-the-stock-market-in-first-quarter-11671830648?itm_source=parsely-api&mod=mw_pushly&send_date=20221225

 

S&P 500 Momentum Barometers

The intermediate term Barometer added 4.40 on Friday, but slipped 1.80 last week to 57.00. It remains Neutral. Trend is down.

The long term Barometer added 1.60 on Friday and 2.40 last week. It remains Neutral. Trend is down.

 

TSX Momentum Barometers

The TSX Barometer added 5.08 on Friday, but dropped 2.31 last week to 53.39. It remains Neutral. Trend is down.

The long term Barometer added 3.81 on Friday and 7.80 last week to 49.15. It remains Neutral. Trend remains down.

 

Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at

www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed

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