Pre-opening Comments for Thursday February 16th
U.S. equity index futures were lower this morning. S&P 500 futures were down 36 points in pre-opening trade.
Equity index futures moved lower following release of the Producer Price reports and the Philly Fed report released at 8:30 AM EST. January Producer Price Index was expected to increase 0.4% versus a drop of 0.5% in December. Actual was an increase of 0.7%. On a year-over-year basis, January Producer Price Index is expected to increase 5.4% versus a gain of 6.2% in December. Actual was an increase of 6.0%. Excluding food and energy prices, January PPI is expected to increase 0.3% versus a gain of 0.1% in December. Actual was an increase of 0.5% . On a year-over-year basis, January core PPI is expected to increase 4.9% versus a gain of 5.5% in December. Actual was an increase of 5.4%.
February Philly Fed Manufacturing Index was expected to drop 6.7 versus a drop of 8.9 in January. Actual was a drop of 24.3.
Twilio advanced $8.20 to $74.25 after announcing a share repurchase program and a round of employee layoffs.
Cisco added $1.60 to $49.96 after reporting higher than consensus fiscal second quarter results. The company also offered positive guidance.
Shopify dropped $5.21 to US$48.18 after the company issued quarterly guidance below consensus.
EquityClock’s Daily Comment
Headline reads “Abnormally mild temperatures and evolving seasonality is providing a rather manipulated view of the economic fundamentals heading through the winter”.
http://www.equityclock.com/2023/02/15/stock-market-outlook-for-february-16-2023/
Technical Notes
Canadian Information/Technology iShares $XIT.TO moved above Cdn$40.53 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Analog Devices $ADI a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $187.66 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.
Take Two $TTWO moved above $115.33 extending an intermediate uptrend.
General Electric $GE an S&P 100 stock moved above $83.99 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Seagen $SGEN a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $141.43 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Johnson & Johnson $JNJ a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock moved below $161.05 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Incyte $INCY a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below intermediate support at $78.28.
Bausch Health $BHC.TO a TSX 60 stock moved above Cdn$11.77 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Canadian gold stocks are under technical pressure with lower gold prices. Kinross Gold moved below Cdn$5.27 and US$3.96 setting an intermediate downtrend. Yamana Gold moved below intermediate support at Cdn$7.27.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for Feb.15th 2023
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for Feb.15th 2023
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for Feb.15th 2023
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Links offered by valued providers
5 Growth Stocks Ready To Explode! | Tom Bowley | Your Daily Five (02.15.23)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Us5PvgrvI30
Is There More Upside | Greg Schnell, CMT | Market Buzz (02.15.23)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6s63bIrfWE
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer slipped 0.20 to 69.00. It remains Overbought.
The long term Barometer added 0.40 to 72.20. It remains Overbought.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped 2.12 to 65.25. It remains Overbought.
The long term Barometer slipped 1.27 to 66.95. It remains Overbought.
Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed
|
February 16th, 2023 at 3:52 pm
If anyone is interested, here is a good explanation of what is happening in the options market that is influencing the daily wild swings and why the volatility index (VIX) is not reflecting this:
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/zero-day-options-are-like-betting-on-horse-race-tchir-says-1.1884978