Pre-opening Comments for Thursday February 15th
U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 9 points at 8:35 AM EST.
S&P 500 futures added 5 points following release of economic news at 8:30 AM EST. Consensus for January retail Sales was a drop of 0.3%. Actual was a drop of 0.8%. Consensus for January U.S. retail sales ex auto sales was a drop of 0.2% versus a gain of 0.4% in December. Actual was a drop of 0.6%. Consensus for the February Philly Fed Index was -8.0 versus -10.6 in January. Actual was +5.2. Consensus for the February Empire State Manufacturing Survey was -12.50 versus -43.70 in January. Actual was -2.4.
Cisco dropped $2.70 to $45.58 after offering guidance below consensus estimates.
Twilio dropped $6.55 to $65.51 after reporting fourth quarter revenues below consensus.
Canadian Tire is expected to open lower after reporting less than consensus fourth quarter earnings and revenues.
Manulife Financial is expected to open higher after raising its quarterly dividend by 9.6%.
Technical Notes
Dow Jones Transportation iShares $IYT moved above $273.40 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.
Kraft Heinz $KHC an S&P 100 stock moved below $35.69 extending an intermediate downtrend.
TSX Gold iShares $XGD.TO moved below Cdn$15.14 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Barrick Gold $ABX.TO a TSX 60 stock moved below Cdn$18.93 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Biogen $BIIB a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $220.86 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Couche-Tard $ATD.TO a TSX 60 stock moved above Cdn$82.32 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.
Dollarama $DOL.TO a TSX 60 stock moved above Cdn$101.73 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.
Nutrien $NTR.TO a TSX 60 stock moved below Cdn$65.35 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for Feb.14th 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Source for all positive seasonality ratings: www.EquityClock.com
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for Feb.14th 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for Feb.14th 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Links from valued providers
RISK OFF MOVE! S&P 500 Plunges Below 5K: David Keller
RISK OFF MOVE! S&P 500 Plunges Below 5K – YouTube
Inflation Back in the Driver’s Seat: Pete Carmasino
Inflation Back in the Driver’s Seat – YouTube
EASY SCAN! Find Growth Names in Small-Caps
EASY SCAN! Find Growth Names in Small-Caps – YouTube
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer added 3.20 to 56.80. It remains Neutral.
The long term Barometer added 2.60 to 70.00. It remains Overbought.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer added 7.56 to 50.22. It remains Neutral.
The long term Barometer added 2.22 to 54.67. It remains Neutral.
Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed
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February 15th, 2024 at 10:29 am
Energy Breaks Downtrend – XOP broke resistance this morning at 36.73 and the downtrend line that started in October. Seasonality lines up. Paula on CNQ David Burrows made it his top pick on BNN on Jan 29th. Everything washed out of this sector.
FFH – Completely retraced the gap on the chart caused by Muddy Waters’ phony short report. The insurers have been one of the most profitable sectors in the market. Witness MFC’s results. FFH reports after market close. I feel sorry for the weak hands that got shook out.
February 15th, 2024 at 3:33 pm
Larry, thanks for remembering our discussion of CNQ. It tested and held the recent support ~ 80. Nice to see the big move up today back over its 20ema ~ 83.46.
https://schrts.co/KhQJhxDn
February 15th, 2024 at 4:43 pm
RE: IJR
Successful test of breakout or just another whipsaw?
https://schrts.co/GxBJrmcY
February 15th, 2024 at 7:38 pm
IJR – Looks bullish to me with a rising 50 day MA acting as support. If this continues it obviously shows a broadening of the market.