Pre-opening Comments for Wednesday September 4th
U.S. equity futures were lower this morning. S&P 500 futures were down 24 points at 8:35 AM EDT.
S&P 500 futures dropped 3 points following release of the July Trade report at 8:30 AM EDT. Consensus was a deficit of $79.10 billion versus a deficit of $73.10 billion in June. Actual was a deficit of $78.8 billion.
GitLab gained $5.92 to $50.50 after reporting higher than consensus second quarter results. The company also raised guidance for the remainder of 2024
Zscaler dropped $27.61 to $165.58 after lowering guidance for fiscal 2025
PagerDuty dropped $2.17 to $16.12 after reporting less than consensus second quarter revenues.
Asana dropped $1.78 to $11.51 after reporting a fiscal third quarter loss greater than consensus
EquityClock’s Stock Market Outlook for September 4th
The intermediate-term trend of the market is under threat as the Technology sector rolls over below the July highs, confirming the shift of the prevailing rising trend. See:
https://equityclock.com/2024/09/03/stock-market-outlook-for-september-4-2024/
Technical Notes
The VIX Index spiked 38.4% and moved above its 20 and 50 day moving averages.
Weakness was led by the semiconductor sector and related ETFs. Weakest stock in the sector was Nvidia, down 9.53%.
Oil service ETFs and stocks responded to lower crude oil prices. Oil Services ETF $OIH moved below $290.78, Schlumberger $SLB moved below $42.81 and $42.61 and Baker Hughes $BKR moved below $33.90 setting intermediate downtrends.
U.S. Healthcare Providers iShares $IHF moved above $58.49 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend
Interest sensitive telecom stocks and related ETFs moved higher. AT&T $T moved above $19.99 and Verizon $VZ moved above $42.52 extending intermediate uptrends.
Boeing $BA a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock moved below $162.50 and $159.70 to a 22 month low extending an intermediate downtrend.
U.S. interest sensitive utilities stocks and related ETFs stocks moved higher. Southern Companies $SO an S&P 100 stock moved above $88.94 to an all-time high.
Cenovus Energy $CVE.TO a TSX 60 stock moved below Cdn$24.41 extending an intermediate downtrend. Responded to lower crude oil prices!
SNC Lavalin $ATRL a TSX 60 stock moved below Cdn$51.29 and $51.24 setting an intermediate downtrend.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for September 3rd 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Source for all positive seasonality ratings: www.EquityClock.com
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for September 3rd 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for September 3rd 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Links offered by valued providers
Former SEC Chair Jay Clayton on taxing unrealized gains, price gouging ban proposals
Former SEC Chair Jay Clayton on taxing unrealized gains, price gouging ban proposals – YouTube
Stocks May Correct in September, Morgan Stanley’s Caron Says
Stocks May Correct in September, Morgan Stanley’s Caron Says – YouTube
Investors should be cautious for the next 8 weeks, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee
Investors should be cautious for the next 8 weeks, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee – YouTube
There’s still a lot of nervousness in the markets, says RBC’s Amy Wu Silverman
There’s still a lot of nervousness in the markets, says RBC’s Amy Wu Silverman – YouTube
ISM manufacturing measure shows activity disappointed in August
ISM manufacturing measure shows activity disappointed in August – YouTube
Expect the tech trade to continue moving higher in September, says Deepwater’s Gene Munster
Why the S&P 500 Going Sideways is the Best Case Scenario: Julius De Kempenaer
Why the S&P 500 Going Sideways is the Best Case Scenario – YouTube
New trends in the week ahead: Stocks, Gold, and Bonds: TheTechnicalTraders
New trends in the week ahead: Stocks, Gold, and Bonds – YouTube
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped 10.20 to 71.80. It remains Overbought.
The long term Barometer dropped 4.00 to 75.20. It remains Overbought
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer plunged 15.04 to 51.77. It changed from Overbought to Neutral on a drop below 60.00.
The long term Barometer dropped 6.64 to 67.70, It remains Overbought.
Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed
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Equity Clock Publications