Pre-opening Comments for Wednesday February 19th
U.S. equity index futures were lower this morning. S&P 500 futures were down 12 points at 8:35 AM EST
S&P 500 futures were unchanged following release of U.S. January Housing Starts at 8:30 AM EST. Consensus was a drop to 1.370 million units from 1.499 million units in December. Actual was 1.37 million units.
Devon Energy added $0.32 to $35.20 after reporting higher than consensus fourth quarter earnings.
Celanese dropped $9.81 to $60.10 after reporting a fourth quarter loss and an 8% drop in fourth quarter revenues.
Occidental Petroleum dropped $0.65 to $48.19 after reporting a fourth quarter loss and lower than consensus fourth quarter revenues.
Toll Brothers dropped $6.34 to4115.71 after reporting revenues and earnings below consensus.
EquityClock’s Stock Market Outlook for February 19th
Commodity exposure continues to attract demand as traders seek to mitigate the inflationary impact that tariffs are likely to impose. See:
https://equityclock.com/2025/02/18/stock-market-outlook-for-february-19-2025/
Technical Notes
Late strength by the S&P 500 above 6,128.18 moved the Index to an all-time high.
Natural Gas ETN $UNG moved above $20.03 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Palo Alto Networks $PANW a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $207.24 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.
Deere $DE an S&P 100 stock moved above $485.84 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.
Lam Research $LRCX a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $85.19 and $86.29 extending am on intermediate uptrend.
Chipotle $CMG an S&P 100 stock moved below $55.30 and $55.02 setting an intermediate downtrend.
SNC Lavalin $ATRL.TO a TSX 60 stock moved below Cdn$69.01 completing a Head & Shoulders pattern.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for February 18th 2025
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Source for all positive seasonality ratings: www.EquityClock.com
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for February 18th 2025
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for February 18h 2025
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Dates for seasonality (Neutral or Positive) have been updated to correspond to EquityClock’s dates. Note significant changes that occur at this time of year.
Links offered by valued providers
Three Signs of a Coming Bear Market – February 2025 Update! David Keller
Three Signs of a Coming Bear Market – February 2025 Update! – YouTube
Trump’s tariff policies could trigger a global recession: David Rosenberg
Trump’s tariff policies could trigger a global recession: David Rosenberg – YouTube
Rotation Signals Commodities Springing Back to Life! RRG charts
Rotation Signals Commodities Springing Back to Life! – YouTube
Idle Markets Are The Devil’s Workshop: What Investors Should Expect! Guy Adami and Liz Young Thomas.
Idle Markets Are The Devil’s Workshop: What Investors Should Expect! – YouTube
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer added 4.40 to 58.80. It remains Neutral.
The long term Barometer added 1.40 to 61.40. It changed from Neutral to Overbought on a move above 60.00.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer added 5.43 to 49.32. It remains Neutral.
The long term Barometer added 1.81 to 62.44. It remains Overbought.
Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed
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February 19th, 2025 at 6:43 pm
RE: NeilON from Tuesday.
Thanks for posting about the seasonal buy for CNQ. I see a descending triangle since the all-time high April 2024. If there is a disappointment on earnings, it could break the blue support line ~ 42. The next support after that is ~ 38 and then the 200week moving average, currently at 36.49. I find it interesting how it is underperforming SU. Maybe the seasonal influence will turn it around. This is an old chart of Ron/BC that I have modified.
https://schrts.co/dshGCIZg