Tech Talk for Friday June 20th 2025

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Responses to the FOMC decision on interest rates

At 2:00 PM EDT on Wednesday, the FOMC announced that it will maintain its Fed Fund Rate at 4.25%-4.50%. Responses by markets were as follows:

S&P 500 Index dropped

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Prices of major U.S. Bank stocks and related ETFs were notably lower.

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Yield on 10 year Treasuries increased

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The U.S. Dollar Index ETN moved higher

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The Canadian Dollar moved lower

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Gold and gold equity ETFs in U.S. Dollars moved lower

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Technical Notes

Bank of New York Mellon (BK) an S&P 100 stock moved above $90.62 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.

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Charles Schwab (SCHB) an S&P 100 stock moved above $89.85 extending an intermediate uptrend. Seasonal influences are favourable until the end of July. See: https://charts.equityclock.com/schwab-us-broad-market-etf-nyseschb-seasonal-chart

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McDonald’s (MCD) a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock moved below $288.86 completing a double top pattern.

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Trader’s Corner

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Equity Indices and Related ETFs

Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for June 18th 2025

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Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

Source for all positive seasonality ratings: www.EquityClock.com

Commodities

Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for June 18th 2025

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Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

Sectors

Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for June 18th 2025

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Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

Links offered by valued providers

3 S&P 500 Charts That Point to the Next Big Move: Frank Capperelli

3 S&P 500 Charts That Point to the Next Big Move – YouTube

Expect a period of pullback over the summer: Lewenza

Expect a period of pullback over the summer: Lewenza – YouTube

S&P 500 Momentum Barometers

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The intermediate term Barometer dropped 1.80 to 66.40. It remains Overbought. Daily trend has turned down.

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The long term Barometer slipped 0.40 to 48.60. It remains Neutral.

TSX Momentum Barometers

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The intermediate term Barometer dropped 2.30 to 87.10. It remains Overbought and has rolled over.

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The long term Barometer slipped 0.92 to 74.65. It remains Overbought and has rolled over.

Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at

www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.




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