Pre-opening Comments for Wednesday January 17th 2024
U.S. equity index futures were lower this morning. S&P 500 futures were down 24 points at 8:35 AM EST
Index futures slipped 2 points following release of December U.S. Retail Sales at 8:30 AM EST. Consensus was an increase of 0.4% versus a gain of 0.3% in November. Actual was an increase of 0.6%.
Progress Software advanced $2.54 to $56.15 after reporting higher than consensus fourth quarter revenues.
Plexus dropped $4.78 to $96.74 after lowering first quarter revenue and earnings guidance.
Interactive Brokers dropped $3.19 to $83.99 after reporting less than consensus fourth quarter revenues.
Ford dropped $0.19 to $11.27 after UBS downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral.
Technical Notes
Chinese technology related ETFs and prominent Chinese equities list on U.S. exchanges were notably weaker:
KraneShares China Internet ETF $KWEB moved below $24.86 extending an intermediate downtrend.
China Technology ETF $CQQQ moved lower to a 14 month low.
JD.com $JD moved below $24.01 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Baidu $BIDU moved below $103.32 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Taiwan iShares $EWT moved below $43.40 completing a double top pattern.
ConocoPhillips $COP an S&P 100 stock moved below $109.98 completing a Head & Shoulders pattern.
US Bancorp $USB an S&P 100 stock moved below $41.66 completing a double top pattern.
FedEx $FDX an S&P 100 stock moved below $244.63 setting an intermediate downtrend.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for Jan.16th 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Source for all positive seasonality ratings: www.EquityClock.com
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for Jan 16th 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for Jan.16th 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Links offered by Valued Providers
Should You Be Worried About a Recession? Tom Bowley
Note comment on the Technology sector.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=51HwQbHNSm8
The Most Important Chart in the Market | MRKT Call Stock Trading Live Stream
China in focus.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6tkda_-9Fqg
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped 4.40 to 79.60. It remains Overbought. Daily downtrend has been established.
The long term Barometer dropped 2.40 to 73.20. It remains Overbought. Daily downtrend has been established.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped 5.33 to 72.00. It remains Overbought. Daily data shows early signs of a peak.
The long term Barometer dropped 3.56 to 61.33. It remains Overbought. Daily data shows early signs of a peak.
Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed
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January 17th, 2024 at 2:04 pm
The $SPX is pulling back to important support at just under 4700. A break below will project another 100 pts down to the next support level. One can see the sharp loss of momentum in the oscillators on recent highs. Price needs to clear and hold above 4802 to suggest higher prices. Not likely anytime soon looking at this chart. (If one just traded with the Modified MACD arrows direction they’d do just fine. But hey, that wouldn’t be a challenge would it…………..
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p08636803405&a=1039537764
January 17th, 2024 at 10:05 pm
https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/seasonality.php?symbol=%24SPX