Pre-opening Comments for Thursday January 29th
U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 15 points at 8:35 AM EST.
S&P 500 futures added 2 points following release of the U.S. November Trader report released at 8:30 AM EST. Consensus was a $42.9 billion deficit versus a $29.4 billion deficit in November. Actual was a $56.8 billion deficit
Meta Platform (META) an S&P 100 stock moved above $27.72 to $696.28 after reporting higher than consensus fourth quarter revenues and earnings.
IBM (IBM) gained $21.84 to $316.50 after reporting higher than consensus fourth quarter results. Seasonal influences are favourable until March 31st. See seasonality chart at www.EquityClock.com
Tesla (TSLA) advanced $13.88 to $444.34 after reporting higher than consensus fourth quarter revenues and earnings.
Microsoft dropped $17.12 to $464.30 despite reporting higher than consensus second quarter revenues and earnings. Its Azure division reported less than consensus results.
EquityClock’s Market Outlook for January 29th
Treasury yields are firming above the neckline to a head-and-shoulders bottoming pattern, threatening to weigh on high valuation stocks (e.g. Technology) through their period of seasonal weakness later in February. See:
https://equityclock.com/2026/01/28/stock-market-outlook-for-january-29-2026/
Responses to the FOMC decision on interest rates
The FOMC decided at 2:00 PM EST yesterday to maintain its Fed Fund Rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Responses after 2:00 PM were as follows:
Long term U.S. government bond prices and related ETF prices (e.g. TLT) moved higher.
S&P 500 Index and NASDAQ 100 units (QQQ) were virtually unchanged
U.S. Dollar Index ETN (UUP) moved lower.
Conversely, the Canadian Dollar moved higher.
S&P Bank SPDRs (KBE) were mixed
Gold prices and gold stock prices moved higher.
Technical Notes
NASDAQ 100 units (QQQ) moved above $636.19 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.
Hong Kong iShares (EWH) moved above $23.32 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.
CGI Group (GIB.A.TO) a TSX 60 stock moved below Cdn$117.54 and US$83.83 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Couche Tard (ATD.TO) a TSX 60 stock moved below Cdn$71.61 setting an intermediate downtrend.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for January 28th 2026
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Source for all positive seasonality ratings: www.EquityClock.com
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for January 28th 2026
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for January 28th 2025
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Links offered by valued providers
Failed Breakouts: How to Spot Them, Manage Risk, and Stay with Strong Charts: David Keller
Failed Breakouts: How to Spot Them, Manage Risk, and Stay with Strong Charts (stockcharts.com)
S&P Hits 7000, Fed Decision + Tech Earnings Bonanza | $META $AAPL $MSFT $TSLA
Guy Adami and Dan Nathan
S&P Hits 7000, Fed Decision + Tech Earnings Bonanza | $META $AAPL $MSFT $TSLA – YouTube
Failed Breakouts: How to Spot Them, Manage Risk, and Stay with Strong Charts
Dave Keller
Failed Breakouts: How to Spot Them, Manage Risk, and Stay with Strong Charts – YouTube
Bank of Canada leaves key rates as 2.25%: BNN
Bank of Canada leaves key rates as 2.25% – YouTube
Chances of market correction ‘substantially higher’ than expected
Chances of market correction ‘substantially higher’ than expected – YouTube
FOMC Holds Interest Rates in January Meeting, Road Ahead for 2026
FOMC Holds Interest Rates in January Meeting, Road Ahead for 2026 – YouTube
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped 4.80 to 62.20. It remains Overbought.
The long term Barometer was unchanged at 67.20. It remains Overbought.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped 3.67 to 75.23. It remains Overbought. Daily trend is down.
The long term Barometer dropped 0.46 to 80.73. It remains Overbought. Daily trend is down.
Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
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Equity Clock Publications