{"id":186202,"date":"2025-05-27T08:54:21","date_gmt":"2025-05-27T12:54:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/?p=186202"},"modified":"2025-05-27T08:54:21","modified_gmt":"2025-05-27T12:54:21","slug":"tech-talk-for-tuesday-may-27th-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/2025\/05\/27\/tech-talk-for-tuesday-may-27th-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Tech Talk for Tuesday May 27th 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

Pre-opening Comments for Tuesday May 27th<\/sup><\/strong><\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning<\/b>. S&P 500 futures were up 82 points at 8:35 AM EDT.<\/em><\/p>\n

<\/em><\/b><\/p>\n

U.S. equity index futures responded favourably to news over the weekend that President Trump delayed tariffs on European Union imports until July 9th<\/sup>.<\/b> Major European equity indices and related Exchange Traded Funds added 1.3%+. <\/em><\/p>\n

The TSX Composite Index also responded to the news<\/b>. Yesterday, the TSX Composite Index added 193.18 points to another all-time high at 26,073.13.<\/em><\/p>\n

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S&P 500 futures added 2 points <\/b>following release of April U.S. Durable Goods Orders<\/b> at 8:30 AM EDT Consensus was a 7.8% drop versus a 7.6% gain in March. Actual was a 6.3% drop. Excluding transportation orders (mainly Boeing orders) April orders were expected to drop 0.1% versus no change in March. Actual was a 0.2% gain.<\/em><\/p>\n

Bank of Nova Scotia<\/b> is expected to open mixed after reporting slightly lower than consensus fiscal second quarter earnings. The Bank also increased its dividend and announced a share purchase program.<\/em><\/p>\n

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EquityClock\u2019s Market Outlook for May 27th<\/sup><\/strong><\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

US Dollar Index pushing back below its prevailing multi-year trading range as the flight from domestic (US) assets resumes. See:<\/em><\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/equityclock.com\/2025\/05\/24\/stock-market-outlook-for-may-27-2025\/<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Technical Scoop for May 26th<\/sup><\/font> from David Chapman and <\/font><\/strong><\/em>www.EnrichedInvesting.com<\/font><\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

https:\/\/enrichedinvesting.com\/library\/<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

The Bottom Line<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

U.S. equity markets are following their traditional seasonal trend in a Post-Presidential Election year: a strong move in April\/mid-May followed by a brief corrective phase until the beginning of July.<\/p>\n

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Consensus for Earnings and Revenues for S&P 500 companies<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Source: www.factset.com<\/a><\/p>\n

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Analyst estimates for earnings gains for the first quarter of 2025 slipped last week: <\/b>96% of S&P 500 companies have reported to date. <\/b> Consensus <\/b>for first quarter earnings gains calls for a 12.9% increase on a year-over-year basis, down from a 13.6% increase last week. Consensus for first quarter revenues growth increased to 4.9% from 4.8%.<\/p>\n

Analyst estimates for 2025 beyond the first quarter stabilized last week.<\/b> Consensus for second quarter earnings gains increased to 5.1% from 4.8% last week. Consensus for second quarter revenue gains increased to 4.0% from 3.9%. Consensus for third quarter earnings gains increased to 7.2% from 7.0% last week. Consensus for third quarter revenue growth was unchanged at 4.6%. Consensus for fourth quarter earnings gains was unchanged last week at 6.1%. Consensus for fourth quarter revenue gains increased to 5.1% from 4.9%.<\/p>\n

For all of 2025,<\/b> earnings are expected to increase 9.1%, up from 9.0% last week. Consensus for revenue gains slipped to 4.9% from 5.0%.<\/p>\n

For all of 2026<\/b>, earnings are expected to increase 13.4%, unchanged from last week. Consensus for revenue gains remained unchanged at 6.2%.<\/p>\n

Economic News This Week<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

April U.S. Durable Goods Orders<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Tuesday are expected to drop 7.9% versus a 7.5% gain in March. Excluding transportation orders (mainly Boeing orders) April orders are expected to drop 0.1% versus no change in March.<\/p>\n

FOMC Meeting Minutes<\/b> are released at 2:00 PM EDT on Wednesday.<\/p>\n

U.S. first quarter GDP<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Thursday is expected to drop 0.3% versus a 2.4% gain in the fourth quarter. <\/p>\n

April Core PCE Price Index<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Friday is expected to increase 0.1% versus no change in March.<\/p>\n

April U.S. Personal Income <\/b>released at 8:30 AM EDT on Friday is expected to increase 0.3% versus a 0.5% gain in March. April Personal Spending <\/b>is expected to increase 02% versus a 0.7% gain in March. <\/p>\n

March Canadian GDP<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Friday is expected to increase 0.1% versus a 0.2% drop in February.<\/p>\n

May Chicago PMI<\/b> released at 9:45 AM EDT on Friday is expected to improve to 45.1 from 44.6 in March.<\/p>\n

May Michigan Consumer Sentiment<\/b> released at 10:00 AM EDT on Friday is expected to slip to 50.8 from 52.2 in April.<\/p>\n

Selected Earnings News This Week<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Focuses this week are on fiscal second quarter results by Canada\u2019s big banks and results released by Nvidia on Wednesday. <\/p>\n

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Trader\u2019s Corner<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"traders<\/a><\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Equity Indices and Related ETFs<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Daily Seasonal\/Technical Equity Trends for May 23rd<\/sup> 2025<\/font><\/p>\n

\"spx<\/a><\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n

Green: Increase from previous day<\/em><\/p>\n

Red: Decrease from previous day<\/em><\/p>\n

Source for all positive seasonality ratings: <\/em>www.EquityClock.com<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Commodities<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Daily Seasonal\/Technical Commodities Trends for May 23rd<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n

\"crb<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/b><\/p>\n

Green: Increase from previous day<\/font> <\/b><\/em><\/p>\n

Red: Decrease from previous day<\/em><\/p>\n

Sectors<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Daily Seasonal\/Technical Sector Trends for May 23rd<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n

\"xlk<\/a><\/p>\n

Green: Increase from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

Red: Decrease from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

Changes last week<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"changes<\/a> <\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

Links offered by valued providers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Michael Campbell\u2019s Money Talks for May 24th<\/sup> <\/b><\/p>\n

May 24 Episode – Michael Campbell’s Money Talks – Omny.fm<\/a><\/p>\n

Wall Street Could Continue Sell Off: Mark Leibovit<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.howestreet.com\/2025\/05\/wall-street-could-continue-sell-off-mark-leibovit\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Is it Time for Trump to Back Off on Tariffs? Bob Hoye<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.howestreet.com\/2025\/05\/is-it-time-for-trump-to-back-off-on-tariffs-bob-hoye\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Trading Desk Notes for May 24th<\/sup>: Victor Adair<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.howestreet.com\/2025\/05\/trading-desk-notes-for-may-24-2025\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson on Volatility, Policy Shocks & The Real Tariff Endgame<\/b><\/p>\n

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson on Volatility, Policy Shocks & The Real Tariff Endgame \u2013 YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n

S&P 500 Slide Explained: What Past Price Action Reveals About Market Dips: Frank Cappelleri<\/b><\/p>\n

S&P 500 Slide Explained: What Past Price Action Reveals About Market Dips | CappThesis | StockCharts.com<\/a><\/p>\n

Technical Notes<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Platinum<\/b> ETN $PPLT moved above another resistance level at $100.00 extending an intermediate uptrend.<\/p>\n

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Intuit<\/b> $INTU an S&P 100 stock moved above $712.35 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.<\/p>\n

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S&P 500 Momentum Barometers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The intermediate term Barometer was unchanged on Friday, but plunged 17.40 last week to 61.60. It remains Overbought. Daily downtrend has been established.<\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The long term Barometer dropped another 2.60 on Friday and plunged 11.60 last week to 46.80. It remains Neutral. Daily downtrend has been established.<\/p>\n

Short term (20 days) Barometer dropped 3.60 on Friday and plunged 33.60 last week to 52.80.<\/p>\n

TSX Momentum Barometers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The intermediate term Barometer was unchanged on Friday and added 0.44 last week to 78.34. It remains Overbought and showing early signs of rolling over.<\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The long term Barometer added 0.46 on Friday and gained 1.38 last week to 67.28. It remains Overbought and showing early signs of rolling over.<\/p>\n

Disclaimer:<\/b> Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at<\/em><\/p>\n

www.equityclock.com<\/em><\/a> are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pre-opening Comments for Tuesday May 27th U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 82 points at 8:35 AM EDT. U.S. equity index futures responded favourably to news over the weekend that President Trump delayed tariffs on European Union imports until July 9th. Major European equity indices and related Exchange […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-186202","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186202","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=186202"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186202\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":186203,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186202\/revisions\/186203"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=186202"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=186202"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=186202"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}