{"id":187918,"date":"2025-08-03T02:02:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-03T06:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/?p=187918"},"modified":"2025-08-05T08:53:26","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T12:53:26","slug":"tech-talk-for-tuesday-august-5th-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/2025\/08\/03\/tech-talk-for-tuesday-august-5th-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Tech Talk for Tuesday August 5th 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a><\/p>\n

Technical action by selected U.S. equities and ETFs yesterday<\/strong><\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

Gold Miners ETF<\/b> (GDX) moved above $54.70 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.<\/em><\/p>\n

Breakouts to all-time highs extending intermediate uptrends were reached by Duke Energy<\/b> (DUK) on a move above $124.14 and by Johnson & Johnson<\/b> (JNJ) on a move above $169.41. Technical breakdowns setting intermediate downtrends were recorded by Berkshire Hathaway<\/b> (BRK.B) on a break below $462.10 and by Exxon Mobil<\/b> XOM) on a move below $107.15<\/em><\/p>\n

Pre-opening Comments for Tuesday August 5th<\/sup> <\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning.<\/b> S&P 500 futures were up 11 points at 8:35 AM EDT. <\/em><\/p>\n

S&P 500 futures were unchanged following release of the U.S. June Trade Report<\/b> at 8:30 AM EDT. Consensus was a $60.90 billion deficit versus a $71.50 billion deficit in May. Actual was a $60.20 deficit.<\/em><\/p>\n

Palantir Technologies<\/b> (PLTR) advanced $11.34 to $172.00 after reporting higher than consensus fiscal third quarter revenues and earnings. The company also raised guidance.<\/em> <\/p>\n

\"clip_image001\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Vertex Pharma<\/b> (VRTX) dropped $51.97 to $420.30 despite reporting second quarter earnings and revenues above consensus. The company also reporting disappointing results from a pain killer drug currently in phase 2 study.<\/em><\/p>\n

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EquityClock\u2019s Market Outlook for August 5th<\/sup><\/strong><\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/em><\/p>\n

Stocks breaking down, VIX and bond prices breaking out. See:<\/em><\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/equityclock.com\/2025\/08\/02\/stock-market-outlook-for-august-5-2025\/<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Technical Scoop from David Chapman<\/strong><\/font> and <\/strong><\/em>www.EnrichedInvesting.com<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

https:\/\/enrichedinvesting.com\/library\/<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

The Bottom Line<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

North American equity markets have entered their traditional corrective period in August and September during post-U.S. President Election years following an advance from April to July.<\/b> Strength this year from April to July was prompted by greater (i.e. front end loaded) economic activity prior to launch of tariffs on manufactured products. And now the \u201chang over\u201d!<\/p>\n

Consensus for Earnings and Revenues for S&P 500 companies<\/strong><\/font> <\/p>\n

Source: www.factset.com<\/a><\/p>\n

The second quarter earnings season continues to surprise: <\/b>Another 160 S&P 500 companies released results last week for a total of 330 reports to date: 82% reported earnings above consensus and with 79% reporting revenues above consensus. <\/p>\n

<\/b><\/p>\n

Analyst earnings estimates for 2025 for the second quarter increased substantially last week. <\/b>Consensus for second quarter earnings gains jumped to 10.3% from 6.4%. Consensus for second quarter revenue gains increased to 6.0% from 5.0%. <\/p>\n

Earnings estimates for remainder of the year were unchanged<\/b>. Consensus for third quarter earnings gains remained at 7.6%. Consensus for third quarter revenue growth increased to 5.5% from 5.1%. Consensus for fourth quarter earnings gains remained at 7.0%. Consensus for fourth quarter revenue gains increased to 5.9% from 5.6%. <\/p>\n

For all of 2025, <\/b>consensus for <\/b>earnings growth increased to 9.9% from 9.6%. Consensus for revenue gains increased to 5.6% from 5.3%. <\/p>\n

For all of 2026<\/b>, consensus for earnings growth slipped to 13.6% from 13.9%. Consensus for revenue gains remained at 6.3%.<\/p>\n

Economic News This Week<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

U.S. June Trade Deficit <\/b>released at 8:30 AM EDT on Tuesday is expected to decline to $62.60 billion from $71.50 billion on May.<\/p>\n

Canadian June Trade<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Tuesday is expected to record a $5.8 billion deficit versus a $5.9 billion deficit in May.<\/p>\n

July ISM Non-manufacturing PMI<\/b> released at 10:00 AM EDT on Tuesday is expected to increase to 51.5 from 50.8 in June.<\/p>\n

U.S. Second Quarter Non-farm Productivity<\/b> released at 10:00 AM EDT on Thursday is expected increase 1.9% versus a 1.5% decrease in the first quarter.<\/p>\n

U.S. June Wholesale Inventories<\/b> released at 10:00 AM EDT on Thursday are expected to increase 0.2% versus a 0.3% drop in May.<\/p>\n

Canadian July Employment<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Friday is expected to drop to a 15,300 gain versus an 83,100 gain in June. <\/p>\n

Selected Earnings News This Week<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

(Bolded companies<\/i><\/b> are TSX 60 companies)<\/p>\n

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Trader\u2019s Corner<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"traders<\/a><\/font><\/p>\n

Equity Indices and Related ETFs<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Daily Seasonal\/Technical Equity Trends for August 1st<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n

\"spx\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Green: Increase from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

Red: Decrease from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

Source for all positive seasonality ratings: <\/em>www.EquityClock.com<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Commodities<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Daily Seasonal\/Technical Commodities Trends for August 1st<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n

\"crb\"<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/b><\/p>\n

Green: Increase from previous day<\/font> <\/b><\/em><\/p>\n

Red: Decrease from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

Sectors<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Daily Seasonal\/Technical Sector Trends for August 1st<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n

\"xlk\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Green: Increase from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

Red: Decrease from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

Changes last week<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"changes\"<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Links offered by valued providers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Mike\u2019s Money Talks for August 2nd<\/sup> <\/b><\/p>\n

Michael Campbell\u2019s MoneyTalks \u2013 Complete Show (mikesmoneytalks.ca)<\/a><\/p>\n

Major Turning Point For Stocks, Launch Pad For Gold, Copper is Dead: TheTechnicalTraders<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=W78ay-jmRHA<\/a><\/p>\n

6 Global ETFs Worth Watching Now: ValueTrendCanada<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=yZRI1Nx1mpE<\/a><\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs’ Jan Hatzius: Today’s jobs report makes it more likely Fed will cut in September<\/b><\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs’ Jan Hatzius: Today’s jobs report makes it more likely Fed will cut in September \u2013 YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n

The Positive Impact of Tariffs on US Copper Shares: Mark Leibovit<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.howestreet.com\/2025\/07\/the-positive-impact-of-tariffs-on-us-copper-shares-mark-leibovit\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Are Stock Markets Setting Up for a Major Correction? Tim Wood<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.howestreet.com\/2025\/07\/are-stock-markets-setting-up-for-a-major-correction-tim-wood\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Victor Adair\u2019s Trading Desk Notes for August 2nd<\/sup> <\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.howestreet.com\/2025\/08\/trading-desk-notes-for-august-2-2025\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Is the Bubble of \u201cEverything\u201d About to Burst? Bob Hoye<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.howestreet.com\/2025\/08\/is-the-bubble-of-everything-about-to-burst-bob-hoye\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Technical Notes for Friday<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

S&P Oil and Gas Exploration SPDRs<\/b> (XOP) moved below $124.36 completing a double top pattern. Responded to a $2.00 drop in WTI crude oil.to US$67.26 per barrel.<\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

S&P 100<\/b> and<\/b> NASDAQ 100 stocks<\/b> breaking intermediate support setting downtrends on Friday included Monster Beverages, Schlumberger, U.S. Bancorp, UnitedHealth Group, Linde, Honeywell, CDW Corp, Salesforce.com, DocuSign, Intel, PayPal, Workday and Zoom<\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

CGI Group<\/b> (GIB.A.TO) a TSX 60 stock moved below Cdn$131.96 to a 21 month low extending an intermediate downtrend. <\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Constellation Software<\/b> (CSU.TO) a TSX 60 stock moved below $4,756.02 completing a double top pattern.<\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

S&P 500 Momentum Barometers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The intermediate term Barometer dropped 7.40 on Friday and plunged 24.00 last week to 48.80. It changed last week from Overbought to Neutral on a drop below 60.00. Daily downtrend was extended on Friday<\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The long term Barometer dropped 2.80 on Friday and dropped 12.00 last week to 55.00. It changed from Overbought to Neutral on a drop below 60.00. Daily downtrend was extended on Friday.<\/p>\n

The short term (20 days) Barometer dropped 5.00 on Friday and plunged 33.80 last week to 36.20. It changed last week from Overbought to Oversold on a move below 40.00.<\/p>\n

TSX Momentum Barometers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The intermediate term Barometer dropped 11.32 on Friday and plunged 17.45 last week to 54.25. It changed from Overbought to Neutral on a drop below 60.00. Daily downtrend was extended.<\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The long term Barometer dropped 1.89 on Friday and dropped 3.77 last week to 79.72. It remains Overbought. Daily trend has turned down <\/p>\n

The short term (20 days) Barometer dropped 6.60 on Friday and plunged 32.07 last week to 35.38. It changed last week from Overbought to Oversold on a drop below 40.00.<\/p>\n

Disclaimer:<\/b> Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at <\/em><\/p>\n

www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Technical action by selected U.S. equities and ETFs yesterday Gold Miners ETF (GDX) moved above $54.70 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend. Breakouts to all-time highs extending intermediate uptrends were reached by Duke Energy (DUK) on a move above $124.14 and by Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) on a move above $169.41. Technical breakdowns […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-187918","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187918","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=187918"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187918\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":187924,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187918\/revisions\/187924"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=187918"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=187918"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=187918"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}