{"id":188493,"date":"2025-08-24T16:45:38","date_gmt":"2025-08-24T20:45:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/?p=188493"},"modified":"2025-08-25T08:52:59","modified_gmt":"2025-08-25T12:52:59","slug":"tech-talk-for-monday-august-25th-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/2025\/08\/24\/tech-talk-for-monday-august-25th-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Tech Talk for Monday August 25th 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

Pre-opening Comments for Monday August 25th<\/sup><\/strong><\/font><\/em><\/p>\n

U.S. equity index futures were lower this morning<\/b>. S&P 500 futures were down 21 points at 8:30 AM EDT.<\/em><\/p>\n

JDE Peet<\/b> advanced $4.60 to $31.14 and Keurig Dr. Pepper<\/b> dropped $1.36 to $33.77 after Keurig Dr. Pepper offered to purchase JDE Peet for $18 billion cash.<\/em><\/p>\n

\"clip_image001\"<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

PDD Holdings<\/b> added $4.15 to $127.11 after reporting higher than consensus second quarter revenues.<\/em> <\/p>\n

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Verint <\/b>gained $2.53 to $23.00 on news the company is near a deal to be acquired by Thoma Bravo.<\/em><\/p>\n

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Intel <\/b>added $0.46 to $25.26 after the U.S. government confirmed purchase of a 10% interest in the company.<\/em><\/p>\n

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<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

The Bottom Line<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell\u2019s Jackson Hole Symposium speech on Friday morning triggered significant buying:<\/b> Expectation of a reduction in the Fed Fund Rate at the next FOMC meeting on September 17th<\/sup> triggered purchases of both U.S. equities and bonds. The S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average SPDRs (DIA) closed at all-time highs. US Aggregate Bond iShares (AGG) broke to a 42 month high.<\/p>\n

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Economic News This Week<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

July U.S. New Home Sales<\/b> released at 10:00 AM EDT on Monday are expected to increase to 635, 000 units from 627,000 units in June. <\/p>\n

July Durable Goods Orders<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Tuesday are expected drop 4.0% versus a 9.4% drop in June. Excluding Transportation Orders<\/b>, July Durable Goods Orders are expected to increase 0.1% versus a 0.2% gain in June. <\/p>\n

Updated annualized second quarter U.S. GDP<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Thursday is expected to show a 3.0% gain versus a 0.5% drop in the first quarter. <\/p>\n

July PCE Price Index<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Friday is expected to increase 0.3% versus a 0.3% increase in June. Core July PCE Price Index<\/b> also is expected to increase 0.3% versus a 0.3% gain in June <\/p>\n

July U.S. Personal Income<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Friday is expected to increase 0.4% versus a 0.3% gain in June. July U.S. Personal Spending<\/b> is expected to increase 0.5% versus a 0.3% gain in June. <\/p>\n

Canada\u2019s June GDP<\/b> released at 8:30 AM EDT on Friday is expected to increase 0.1% versus a 0.1% drop in May.<\/p>\n

August Chicago PMI<\/b> released at 9:45 AM EDT on Friday is expected to drop to 45.3 from 47.1 in July<\/p>\n

Michigan July Consumer Sentiment<\/b> released at 10:00 AM EDT on Friday is expected to fall to 58.6 from 61.7 in June.<\/p>\n

Selected Earnings News This Week<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Focuses are on NVidia\u2019s report on Wednesday and on major Canadian bank reports released between Tuesday and Thursday.<\/b><\/p>\n

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Trader\u2019s Corner<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

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Equity Indices and Related ETFs<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Daily Seasonal\/Technical Equity Trends for August 22nd<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n

\"spx<\/a><\/p>\n

Green: Increase from previous day<\/p>\n

Red: Decrease from previous day<\/p>\n

Source for all positive seasonality ratings: www.EquityClock.com<\/a><\/p>\n

Commodities<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Daily Seasonal\/Technical Commodities Trends for August 22nd<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n

\"crb<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/b><\/p>\n

Green: Increase from previous day <\/b><\/p>\n

Red: Decrease from previous day<\/p>\n

Sectors<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Daily Seasonal\/Technical Sector Trends for August 22nd<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n

\"xlk<\/a><\/p>\n

Green: Increase from previous day<\/p>\n

Red: Decrease from previous day<\/p>\n

Changes last week<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"changes<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Technical Notes for Friday<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Notable ETFs<\/b> breaking resistance extending intermediate uptrends included S&P 500 Equal Weight (RSP), S&P Midcap SPDR (MDY), S&P Bank SPDRs (KBE), Regional Banking SPDRs (KRE) and Global Timber and Forestry iShares (WOOD)<\/p>\n

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\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

S&P 100 and NASDAQ 100 stocks <\/b>breaking resistance extending intermediate uptrends included Travelers, MasterCard, MetLife, Bank of America, Paccar and Alphabet<\/p>\n

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International equity ETFs breaking to new highs<\/b> included Mexico iShares (EWW) and China large cap iShares (FXI) to a four year high<\/p>\n

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Links offered by valued providers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Michael Campbell\u2019s Money Talks for August 23rd<\/sup> 2025<\/b><\/p>\n

Michael Campbell\u2019s MoneyTalks \u2013 Complete Show (mikesmoneytalks.ca)<\/a><\/p>\n

Fundstrat’s Tom Lee: Dovish Fed is a green light for equities, small caps<\/b><\/p>\n

Fundstrat’s Tom Lee: Dovish Fed is a green light for equities, small caps \u2013 YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n

Experts react to Fed Chair Powell\u2019s Jackson Hole speech: September rate cut could be on the horizon<\/b><\/p>\n

Experts react to Fed Chair Powell\u2019s Jackson Hole speech: September rate cut could be on the horizon \u2013 YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n

Crude Oil Falls >US$5\/b From Last Week On Growing Supplies And Weak Summer Demand<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.howestreet.com\/2025\/08\/crude-oil-falls-us5-b-from-last-week-on-growing-supplies-and-weak-summer-demand-2\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Should You Go 100% Into Gold? Bob Hoye<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.howestreet.com\/2025\/08\/should-you-go-100-into-gold-bob-hoye\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Sectors Shift After Powell\u2019s Speech: Where to Focus Now: Mary Ellen McGonagle<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=B5GJ0A4Etqc<\/a><\/p>\n

Is the MAG 7 Bubble Finally Bursting? ValueTrendCanada<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=NrhQC0NffCE<\/a><\/p>\n

Weekly Update with Larry Berman – August 23, 2025<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=RdumAEFEylw<\/a><\/p>\n

This Week In Money: Ross Clark, Mark Leibovit and Tim Wood<\/b><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.howestreet.com\/2025\/08\/stock-markets-gold-oil-precious-metals-lithium-bitcoin-dow-theory-interest-rates-ross-clark-mark-leibovit-tim-wood-this-week-in-money\/<\/a><\/p>\n

S&P 500 Momentum Barometers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The intermediate term Barometer advanced 10.00 on Friday and gained 13.00 last week to 72.20. It remains Overbought. Daily trend is up.<\/p>\n

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The long term Barometer advanced 6.00 on Friday and gained 8.60 last week to 70.20. It remains Overbought. Daily trend is up.<\/p>\n

TSX Momentum Barometers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The intermediate term Barometer advanced 5.69 on Friday and gained 7.11 last week to 72.51. It remains Overbought. Daily trend has turned up.<\/p>\n

\"image\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The long term Barometer added 3.32 on Friday and gained 4.26 last week to 84.83. It remains Overbought. Daily trend has turned up.<\/p>\n

Disclaimer:<\/b> Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at <\/em><\/p>\n

www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pre-opening Comments for Monday August 25th U.S. equity index futures were lower this morning. S&P 500 futures were down 21 points at 8:30 AM EDT. JDE Peet advanced $4.60 to $31.14 and Keurig Dr. Pepper dropped $1.36 to $33.77 after Keurig Dr. Pepper offered to purchase JDE Peet for $18 billion cash. PDD Holdings added […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-188493","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188493","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=188493"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188493\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":188503,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188493\/revisions\/188503"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=188493"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=188493"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=188493"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}