{"id":191283,"date":"2025-12-15T19:30:10","date_gmt":"2025-12-16T00:30:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/?p=191283"},"modified":"2025-12-16T09:04:25","modified_gmt":"2025-12-16T14:04:25","slug":"tech-talk-for-tuesday-december-16th-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/2025\/12\/15\/tech-talk-for-tuesday-december-16th-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Tech Talk for Tuesday December 16th 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><font size=\"5\"><strong>Pre-opening Comments for Tuesday December 16<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong><\/font><\/em><\/p>\n<p><b><em>U.S. Index futures were higher<\/em><a name=\"_GoBack\"><\/a><em> this morning<\/em><\/b><em>. S&amp;P 500 futures were up 3 points at 8:35 AM EST.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><b>S&amp;P 500 futures added 9 points following release of economic news at 8:30 AM EST.<\/b> Consensus for November Non-farm Payrolls was 45,000 versus 119,000 in October. Actual was 64,000. Consensus for November Unemployment Rate was an increase to 4.5% from 4.4% in October. Actual was an increase to 4.6%. Consensus for October Retail Sales was a 0.1% gain versus a 0.2% gain in September. Actual was unchanged. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Commerce Bank set its <b>S&amp;P 500 target<\/b> <b>for 2026<\/b> at 7,450.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image0011-3.png\"><em><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image001[1]\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image001[1]\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image0011_thumb-3.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><b>Ford<\/b> gained $1.10 to $13.80 despite announcing a $19.5 billion special charge. The company also offered positive guidance based on a change in direction from electronic vehicle production to hybrid production.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image0021-4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image002[1]\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image002[1]\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image0021_thumb-4.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><b>PayPal<\/b> added $0.66 to $61.40 after applying for establishment of a bank subsidiary.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image0031-3.png\"><em><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image003[1]\" style=\"display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image003[1]\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image0031_thumb-3.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><font size=\"5\"><strong>EquityClock\u2019s Market Outlook for December 16<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong><\/font><\/em><\/p>\n<p><b><em>Positioning for the seasonally strong back half of December for stocks. See:<\/em><\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/equityclock.com\/2025\/12\/15\/stock-market-outlook-for-december-16-2025\/\"><em>https:\/\/equityclock.com\/2025\/12\/15\/stock-market-outlook-for-december-16-2025\/<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><font size=\"5\"><strong><\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font size=\"5\"><strong>Technical Notes<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><b>Consumer Discretionary SPDRs<\/b> (XLY) moved above $121.50 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image001-11.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image001\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image001\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image001_thumb-11.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>U.S. Insurance iShares<\/b> (IAK) moved above $138.08 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image002-10.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image002\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image002\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image002_thumb-10.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Japan iShares<\/b> (EWJ) moved above $84.54 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend. Seasonal influences are favourable until January 31<sup>st<\/sup>. See seasonality chart at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.EquityClock.com\">www.EquityClock.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image003-9.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image003\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image003\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image003_thumb-9.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>BMO Equal Weight Canadian Equal Weight Oil ETF<\/b> (ZEO.TO) moved below Cdn$80.94 completing a double top pattern.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image004-8.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image004\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image004\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image004_thumb-8.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>S&amp;P 100 and NASDAQ 100 stocks breaking resistance extending intermediate uptrends included <b>MetLife <\/b>(MET) on a move above $83.04, <b>Tesla <\/b>on a move above $474.07, <b>Raytheon Technologies<\/b> (RTX), <b>Cintas <\/b>(CTAS) on a move above $189.23, <b>Philip Morris International<\/b> (PM) on a move above $158.23, <b>Airbnb<\/b> (ABNB) on a move above $131.11 and <b>Marriott International<\/b> on a move above $309.42. Seasonal influences currently are favourable for MetLife, Raytheon Technologies, Philip Morris International and Marriott International. See seasonality charts at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.EquityClock.com\">www.EquityClock.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image005-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image005\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image005\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image005_thumb-6.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image006-8.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image006\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image006\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image006_thumb-8.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><font size=\"5\"><strong>Trader\u2019s Corner<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image008-8.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image008\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image008\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image008_thumb-8.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"210\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><font size=\"4\"><strong>Equity Indices and Related ETFs<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p>Daily Seasonal\/Technical Equity Trends for December 15<sup>th<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image010-8.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image010\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image010\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image010_thumb-8.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"116\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><font color=\"#00ff00\">Green: Increase from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><font color=\"#ff0000\">Red: Decrease from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Source for all positive seasonality ratings: <\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.EquityClock.com\"><em>www.EquityClock.com<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><font size=\"4\"><strong>Commodities<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p>Daily Seasonal\/Technical Commodities Trends for December 15<sup>th<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image012-8.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image012\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image012\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image012_thumb-8.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"142\" \/><\/a><\/b><\/p>\n<p><em>Green: Increase from previous day <b><\/b><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><font color=\"#ff0000\">Red: Decrease from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n<p><font size=\"4\"><strong>Sectors<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p>Daily Seasonal\/Technical Sector Trends for December 15<sup>th<\/sup> 2025<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image014-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image014\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image014\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image014_thumb-6.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"165\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><font color=\"#00ff00\">Green: Increase from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><font color=\"#ff0000\">Red: Decrease from previous day<\/font><\/em><\/p>\n<p><font size=\"5\"><strong>Links offered by valued providers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><b>Is This Rally for Real? Here&#8217;s What the Charts Are Saying: Mary Ellen McGonagle<\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=S--el7JlOnw\">Is This Rally for Real? Here&#8217;s What the Charts Are Saying \u2013 YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Wall Street&#8230; We Gotta Problem! Tom Bowley<\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=HP2_aQnBsIw\">Wall Street&#8230; We Gotta Problem! \u2013 YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Seasonality Myths vs Reality: Jeff Hirsch\u2019s 2026 Outlook (Stock Trader\u2019s Almanac)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=0i2HW1COOS0\">Seasonality Myths vs Reality: Jeff Hirsch\u2019s 2026 Outlook (Stock Trader\u2019s Almanac) \u2013 YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Sosnoff: After this week, the market comes back to earth: Tom Sosnoff<\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=i7l3HbTesxg\">Sosnoff: After this week, the market comes back to earth \u2013 YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Tom Lee on 2026: Why the First Half May Be Tough<\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=zNxXALcPrkw\">Tom Lee on 2026: Why the First Half May Be Tough \u2013 YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>AI Stocks Fall Under Pressure Again: Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Carter Worth<\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=euMjyAdaO-A\">AI Stocks Fall Under Pressure Again \u2013 YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n<p><font size=\"5\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 Momentum Barometers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image015-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image015\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image015\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image015_thumb-6.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The intermediate term Barometer added 1.60 to 61.20. It changed from Neutral to Overbought on a move above 60.00.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image016-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image016\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image016\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image016_thumb-6.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The intermediate term Barometer slipped 0.20 to 63.20. It remains Overbought.<\/p>\n<p><font size=\"5\"><strong>TSX Momentum Barometers<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image017-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image017\" style=\"margin: 0px; display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image017\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image017_thumb-6.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The intermediate term Barometer dropped 2.37 to 63.98. It remains Overbought.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image018-7.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"clip_image018\" style=\"display: inline; background-image: none;\" border=\"0\" alt=\"clip_image018\" src=\"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/clip_image018_thumb-7.png\" width=\"244\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The long term Barometer added 0.47 to 81.52. It remains Overbought.<\/p>\n<p><a name=\"_GoBack\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><b>Disclaimer:<\/b> Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at <\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.equityclock.com\"><em>www.equityclock.com<\/em><\/a><em> are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pre-opening Comments for Tuesday December 16th U.S. Index futures were higher this morning. S&amp;P 500 futures were up 3 points at 8:35 AM EST. S&amp;P 500 futures added 9 points following release of economic news at 8:30 AM EST. Consensus for November Non-farm Payrolls was 45,000 versus 119,000 in October. Actual was 64,000. Consensus for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-191283","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191283","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=191283"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191283\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":191291,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191283\/revisions\/191291"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=191283"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=191283"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/timingthemarket.ca\/techtalk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=191283"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}