Pre-opening Comments for Wednesday March 4th
U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 23 points at 8:30 AM EST.
Moderna (MRNA) added $4.39 to $54.22 after agreeing to pay $2.25 billion to settle a COVID Vaccine patent dispute. Seasonal influences are favourable from March 4th to July 23rd. See seasonality chart at www.equityclock.com
Ross Stores (ROST) advanced $12.01 to $209.65 after reporting higher than consensus fourth quarter revenues and earnings. The company also released positive guidance.
Box (BOX) added $0.78 to $24.70 after reporting higher than consensus fourth quarter results. The company also issued positive guidance.
Tesla (TSLA) added $4.07 to $396.50 after Bank of America re-iterated its Buy recommendation.
EquityClock’s Market Outlook for March 4th
Our downside target for the S&P 500 Index at 6730 has been reached: Now what? See:
https://equityclock.com/2026/03/03/stock-market-outlook-for-march-4-2026/
Technical Notes
S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY) moved below intermediate support at $675.79 completing a double top pattern.
Dow Jones Industrial Average SPDRs (DIA) moved below intermediate support at $483.96.
Gasoline ETN (UGA) moved above $76.08 to a four year high extending an intermediate uptrend.
Soybeans ETN (SOYB) moved above $23.86 to a 21 month high extending an intermediate uptrend.
S&P 100 and NASDAQ 100 stocks moving below support setting intermediate downtrends included Ford (F) on a move below $13.09 and $12.92, Dollar Tree (DLTR) on a move below $116.02, Intel (INTC) on a move below $42.28 and Tesla (TSLA) on a move below $387.53.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for March 3rd 2026
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Source for all positive seasonality ratings: www.EquityClock.com
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for March 3rd 2026
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for March 3rd 2026
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Links offered by valued providers
Possible War… What Does it Mean for Retail Traders? | Trading Places Live! March 3, 2026: Tom Bowley
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=koa7HUFwvaw
Stocks Sink as Yields & Oil Surge — What the Charts Say: Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Carter Worth
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ghjWoQUvV6M
Market Fear Spikes, Institutional Analysis Revealed: Oil Surges, Yields Pop, Market Trap Door Opens: Verified Investing
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vLNPeaUJwKU
Gold Surges on Middle East Escalation. Pullback Risk Ahead? | James Thorne
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rvcLtbX6sLM
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped 5.00 to 57.00. It changed from Overbought to Neutral. Daily trend has turned down.
The long term Barometer dropped 3.80 to 63.20. It remains Overbought. Daily trend has turned down.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped 4.15 to 72.81. It remains Overbought.
The long term Barometer was unchanged at 78.80. It remains Overbought.
Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
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Equity Clock Publications